HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER (Now with leverage)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based rotation with leverage. It checks market trend, a TIP “canary,” and momentum to own the 4 strongest assets across stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities—or sit in T‑bills. A UVXY “spike catcher” may hedge when markets look overheated.
Daily steps:
1) Trend: If SPY is above its 200‑day average, conditions are “risk‑on”; else “risk‑off.”
2) Black‑Swan: If stocks look very “hot” short‑term or volatility is heating up, buy UVXY briefly.
3) Canary (TIP): If TIP’s past‑year trend is positive, go Offensive: equal‑weight the 4 strongest ETFs by 1–12‑month returns; otherwise hold BIL (T‑bills).
Offense spans US/foreign stocks, real estate, long Treasuries, commodities—mostly via 2–3x ETFs.
Out-of-sample edge: 31.6% annualized return vs 21.4% for the S&P, Calmar ~1.20, Sharpe ~1.16. Levered, rules-based rotation with volatility hedges aims for stronger upside with disciplined risk controls; drawdowns may rise in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 0.14 | 0 | 0.06 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 83,684.65% | 59.71% | -9.27% | 9.61% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,378,465.11Regulatory Fees
$18,784.76
Total Slippage
$120,440.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, dual momentum, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, etf rotation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EFO
ProShares Ultra MSCI EAFE
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x ETF
Stocks