HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER (Now with leverage)
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, daily strategy: uses a market trend filter, a bond “canary,” and momentum to own the 4 strongest assets when conditions are good; otherwise holds T‑Bills. Adds a “black swan catcher” that buys UVXY when markets look overheated or jumpy.
1) Trend check: If SPY is above its 200‑day average, it’s a bull; otherwise a bear.
2) Crash catcher: In bulls, if leveraged stock funds look overheated (TQQQ or SPXL), buy UVXY (a fund that jumps when markets panic). In bears, if volatility heats up, may also buy UVXY; if SPY is very weak, sit in BIL (T‑Bills).
3) Canary: If TIP (inflation‑protected Treasuries) trends up over 1 year, go risk‑on; else hold BIL.
4) Risk‑on: own the 4 strongest recent performers from a mix of leveraged stock, bond, real‑estate, and commodity ETFs. Rebalanced daily.
Out‑of‑sample, this rules‑based strategy targets ~30% annualized returns vs ~21% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.14—strong risk‑adjusted gains. It blends trend, momentum and a volatility hedge for bigger upside with disciplined drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.13 | 0 | 0.05 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 627.07% | 14.97% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.92 | |
| 89,608.05% | 61.32% | 14.61% | 15.2% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,970,805.13Regulatory Fees
$18,243.39
Total Slippage
$117,129.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, dual momentum, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, tactical asset allocation, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EFO
ProShares Ultra MSCI EAFE
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares
Stocks