HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER (Now with leverage)
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based switch among cash (BIL), a fast‑moving momentum basket of leveraged funds, or a volatility spike hedge (UVXY). Uses a TIP “canary” for risk‑on/off, a trend filter, and RSI froth checks. Very aggressive; expect big swings and whipsaws.
Daily: 1) Trend check: is SPY above its 200‑day avg? 2) Black Swan: if the market looks overheated (RSI—an overbought/oversold gauge—on TQQQ/SPXL) or volatility is heating up, briefly switch to UVXY (jumps when fear spikes). 3) Canary: if TIP’s 1‑yr return ≥ 0, go risk‑on; else sit in BIL (T‑bills). 4) Risk‑on: buy the 4 strongest by 12/6/3/1‑mo momentum from UPRO, TMF, TYD, DBC, DRN, EDC, EFO, TNA, or BIL; equal weight.
Out-of-sample return 31.6% with 1.16 Sharpe and 1.20 Calmar vs SPY’s ~21.4%. A risk-managed, rules-based rotation across cash, momentum, and volatility hedges to capture big uptrends while limiting spikes. Higher upside with drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 0.14 | 0 | 0.06 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616.19% | 14.71% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 84,601.57% | 59.99% | -1.43% | 6.57% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,470,157.29Regulatory Fees
$18,680.35
Total Slippage
$119,779.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, dual momentum, trend following, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EFO
ProShares Ultra MSCI EAFE
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TNA
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares
Stocks