Grok AI Med-Term Bear Mrkt Allocation
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fixed-weight, defensive equity mix using XLP, XLV, XLU, and SCHD with daily rebalancing to a 25/30/25/20 allocation for bear-market stability and income.
- You’re investing in four ETFs that represent different parts of the defensive, income-focused equity universe: XLP (consumer staples), XLV (health care), XLU (utilities), and SCHD (dividend-focused).
- The plan fixes weights at 25% XLP, 30% XLV, 25% XLU, and 20% SCHD, totaling 100%.
- Every trading day, the portfolio is adjusted to return to those exact weights (daily rebalance).
- The goal is to reduce risk and provide steadier income during a medium-term bear market, rather than chasing high growth.
- If markets move, the rebalancing buys more of the underweight ETFs and sells the overweight ones to restore the target mix.
- Pros: potentially lower volatility and income from dividends; cons: higher trading costs, tax impact, and sector concentration risk.
- Example outcome: if health care stocks rally, the system will sell some XLV and buy XLP, XLU, or SCHD to keep the 30/25/25/20 balance.
Fixed-weight defensive mix (XLP, XLV, XLU, SCHD) for bear markets. OOS results: max drawdown 8.75% vs SPY 13.73%, annualized return 10.7%, Calmar 1.22. Delivers steadier income and better downside protection than the S&P, even when growth lags.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02 | 0.69 | 0.7 | 0.84 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.43% | 14.62% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 416.53% | 12.11% | -2.37% | 6.25% | 0.9 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$51,652.83Regulatory Fees
$72.39
Total Slippage
$57.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive equity mix, bear-market allocation, fixed-weight, dividend-focused, sector etfs