Gold and Silver 1D Mean Reversion
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily “buy the dip/sell the rip” strategy in gold and silver. It first checks a fear gauge (UVXY RSI): in panic it holds short-term Treasuries, in calm it holds metals, and in between it makes short snapback bets with 2x long or 2x inverse ETFs.
Goal: buy dips and fade big pops in gold and silver, with a safety brake.
Split between gold (GLD/IAU/SGOL) and silver (SLV/SIVR).
Fear gauge: UVXY’s 30-day RSI (a 0–100 heat meter of recent moves).
- Very high fear: park in SHY (short-term Treasuries).
- Calm: hold the metals.
- Moderate: after a big 1-day drop, buy with 2x funds (UGL/AGQ). After a big jump, use 2x inverse (GLL/DZZ/ZSL) for a short pullback bet. Leveraged ETFs are high risk.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return 28.15% vs SPY 22.46%, max drawdown 10.65% vs 18.76%, Sharpe 1.58 vs 1.41, Calmar 2.64. Higher upside with lower risk—an active, regime-aware metals strategy.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404.59% | 13.96% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.85 | |
| 498.79% | 15.54% | 35.2% | 55.39% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$59,879.12Regulatory Fees
$359.01
Total Slippage
$2,140.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Precious metals, tactical, mean reversion, volatility filter, leveraged/inverse etfs, short-term
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGQ
ProShares Ultra Silver
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
DZZ
DB Gold Double Short ETN due February 15, 2038
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
JNUG
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
Stocks