Gold 1D MR
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Tactical gold strategy. Uses a UVXY “fear” score to choose regimes: hide in SHY during stress, hold gold when calm, and in medium stress buy dips/sell spikes in gold using 2x ETFs (sized by the day’s move). Caps this active sleeve at 70%.
First, it checks a “fear gauge” (UVXY). We score its last 30 days (RSI: 0–100; higher = more recent jumps). That picks a regime:
- Extreme/High fear: mostly park in short‑term Treasuries (SHY); in High fear, hold gold only if it’s above its 5‑day trend.
- Medium fear: run a 1‑day mean‑reversion in gold—buy dips/sell spikes using 2x gold/miner ETFs, sizing up as the move gets bigger; cap this sleeve at 70% (rest cash).
- Very Low fear: hold unlevered gold (GLD/IAU/SGOL). Low: SHY.
Trades mainly when signals change (8% drift band).
Regime‑driven gold strategy offers diversification vs the S&P 500: ~11.6% out‑of‑sample annualized return, low stock beta (~0.12), and built‑in risk controls (70% mean‑reversion gold sleeve, SHY in stress) to hedge equity exposure.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 7, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Gold, mean reversion, volatility regimes, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, short-term treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
DZZ
DB Gold Double Short ETN due February 15, 2038
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
JNUG
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks