Gobi's Staircase
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-rebalanced, multi-asset strategy that uses transportation-sector momentum as its risk signal. When risk-on is indicated, it tilts into leveraged Nasdaq/tech exposure with hedges and bond overlays; when risk-off is signaled, it shifts toward safer assets. It’s built as a stack of modules (Bull, Safety, RisingRates, CrashNet) that combine momentum, volatility, and regime checks to decide what mix of ETFs to hold and how to size them.
- It starts by checking a signal from the transportation sector (IYT) relative to the market (e.g., SPY or broad market momentum) to gauge risk appetite.
- If risk is ON (market is considered willing to take on risk), it invests in aggressive, sometimes leveraged ETF positions such as Nasdaq/tech-focused options (e.g., TQQQ for Nasdaq exposure, SPXL as a broader large-cap leverage, with side-mods to keep position drift in check). It also uses hedges like UVXY as a short-term volatility buffer in some paths. A separate block (G-Module FTLT/Bull/Bonds x RisingRatesMod x BetaBaller) implies an overlay that combines bond-like instruments with rate-sensitive or defensive adjustments when certain signals fire.
- If risk is OFF (risk-off regime), the system shifts toward safer assets (e.g., Treasuries, cash-like positions) and reduces aggressive equity exposure. The model includes checks against long-term and short-term price trends, moving averages, and momentum to decide how to tilt the balance between risk-on and risk-off assets.
- The structure uses multiple windows and indicators (e.g., 10–14 day momentum, 21–126 day trends, 200+ day baselines) to avoid overreacting to a single data point. RSI-like momentum thresholds and price relationships are used to decide entry/exit timing for various components.
- There are layers that group assets into tactics like “Bull” (risk-on growth tilt), “Safety Town” (defensive stance), and “Crash Net” (an ultra-protective wrapper during stress).
- The weights are not simple one-asset bets; they appear as layered cash allocations and conditional selections (wt-cash-equal, wt-inverse-vol, etc.) that determine how much of each bucket (e.g., UVXY hedge, IYT signal, TQQQ exposure, bonds) is sized in the portfolio.
- Rebalance frequency is daily, but many checks use rolling windows (days) to smooth decisions and avoid over-trading. In short: the strategy watches a network of momentum, volatility, and regime signals, decides if the market environment supports risk-taking, and then builds a blended, dynamic, multi-asset portfolio with both leverage and hedges, designed to perform in favorable regimes while carrying fallback defensive structures for downturns.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~30.48% annual return with ~1.12 Sharpe and a low beta (~0.30), using dynamic hedges and risk-on/risk-off shifts to outperform the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted grounds.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | 0.15 | 0 | 0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156.45% | 14.99% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 82,242.31% | 170.68% | -6.14% | 15.38% | 2.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,234,231.18Regulatory Fees
$17,401.93
Total Slippage
$116,017.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multialert, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged equity, volatility hedge, defensive overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks