Gobi's Staircase
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based “risk meter” that uses transports vs the market to time offense (leveraged tech) vs defense (T‑Bills/hedges). It adds crash “airbags” (UVXY), adapts when bonds are weak, and can use managed futures. High‑risk; seeks strong upside with drawdown control.
Starts with a traffic‑light: if transportation stocks (IYT) lag the market (SPY), it parks in T‑Bills (BIL). If they lead, it goes risk‑on: mainly leveraged tech/growth (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL). A 0–100 “heat” gauge (RSI) adds short‑term airbags (UVXY) when things overheat and buys dips when cold. In sharp drops it shifts to cash, hedges (SQQQ/SOXS, TMV) or managed futures (DBMF), and avoids bonds when they’re weak. Uses 200/20‑day trends; rebalances daily.
Outperforms SPY on risk-adjusted returns: oos return ~30% vs ~19%, Sharpe ~1.12 vs ~1.08, with crash hedges and dynamic risk-on/off. A trend-following, managed-futures approach aims bigger upside with controlled drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,risk-on/off,transports timing,leveraged etfs,volatility hedges,managed futures,t‑bills cash,sector rotation,rate-aware
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks