Gobi's Failed Experiment
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A maze of timing rules using RSI and trend filters that often jumps into UVXY when stocks look overheated, into 3x tech/semis on dips, and sometimes hides in cash+bonds. Extremely risky and likely overfit.
It checks the market trend (S&P 500 vs its 200‑day average), then short‑term “heat” via RSI (a 0–100 heat meter: high = overheated, low = sold‑off). When things look overheated, it usually flips into UVXY (a fear‑index fund that spikes if stocks fall). When sold‑off, it buys 3x tech/semis (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL). In panics it may sit mostly in cash (BIL) with some bonds (IEF/TLT) or short semis (SOXS). Many overlapping rules.
Not a SPY replacement. Out-of-sample return ~12.1% with Sharpe ~0.57 vs SPY’s ~19% and ~1.09. Provides diversification via a volatility/regime sleeve and potential crisis hedging; not a core growth driver.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.26 | 0.7 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161.93% | 15.44% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 78,928,647.96% | 657.44% | -10.26% | -1.51% | 2.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,892,874,796.06Regulatory Fees
$26,214,642.15
Total Slippage
$188,549,504.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical timing, leveraged etfs, volatility etps, trend filter, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, overfitting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks