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Gobi's Failed Experiment
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About

An extremely complex, overfit market‑timer. It flips among leveraged tech/semis, volatility (UVXY), or cash/treasuries based on trend, RSI (overheated/washed‑out), and short‑term spikes. Occasionally rotates to energy/financials and uses managed futures.
NutHow it works
This is a huge rule‑tree that tries to time the market. It watches trend (price vs 200‑day average) and “heat” (RSI—how fast prices rose/fell: high=overheated, low=washed‑out). When trend is up it buys leveraged tech/semis (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL=3x funds) or sometimes energy/financials. When things look stretched it buys UVXY (a volatility bet). When weak, it hides in cash (BIL=T‑Bills) and Treasuries (IEF/TLT), or shorts semis (SOXS). It sometimes uses DBMF (managed futures).
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample: ~19.6% annualized vs SPY’s ~18.8%, but with far larger drawdowns (~68% vs ~19%) and weaker risk-adjusted metrics. Higher upside for risk-tolerant investors, yet expect substantial volatility and complexity.
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical market timing, trend/momentum, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, risk-on/risk-off, rotation, cash/bond hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type