Gobi's Staircase
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that uses transportation stocks as an early warning signal, then swings between leveraged tech bets and defensive crash hedges like T-bills, bonds, and volatility funds.
It first checks whether transportation stocks (IYT) are keeping up with the overall U.S. stock market (SPY). If not, it moves to very short-term Treasury bills (BIL), a cash-like safe place.
If yes, it looks for signs the market is healthy, overheated, or crashing. In healthy periods it often buys aggressive funds tied to tech, semiconductors, the S&P 500, financials, or energy. If markets look too hot or dangerous, it shifts into crash hedges like UVXY, bearish Nasdaq funds, bonds, or cash-like holdings.
Out-of-sample return 20.24% vs SPY 17.98%; beta ~0.74 and volatility ~0.41, offering lower market sensitivity. Drawdowns can be larger (~45%), but active hedging and timing aim to boost upside while managing risk vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.1 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197.87% | 16.03% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.86 | |
| 92,468.1% | 153.56% | 0.32% | -17.39% | 2.27 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,256,809.81Regulatory Fees
$19,828.32
Total Slippage
$172,975.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedging, tech-heavy, transportation signal
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks