GBTC RSI TMF WGMI checks
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rule-based crypto swing strategy: buy GBTC on short-term oversold readings; if not, and Treasuries just plunged, rotate into the steadier of two crypto‑stock ETFs (BLOK/WGMI); otherwise park in T‑bills (BIL). Single holding at any time.
1) If GBTC (a Bitcoin fund) looks oversold—10‑day RSI below 32 (RSI: a 0–100 gauge of recent up vs down days; low = sold hard)—buy GBTC.
2) Else, if TMF (leveraged long‑Treasury fund) fell ≥10% in 10 days, buy the steadier of BLOK or WGMI (crypto‑stock funds).
3) Else, hold BIL (T‑bills). One holding at a time.
Out-of-sample edge: ~25.13% annualized return vs S&P ~20.41%, Calmar ~1, and disciplined crypto/treasury regime-switching. Higher upside with controlled risk; drawdowns can be larger, but offer meaningful, crypto-driven growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.05 | 1.18 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68.61% | 13.91% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 4.82% | 1.18% | 1.98% | -3.52% | 0.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,481.61Regulatory Fees
$25.67
Total Slippage
$146.68
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical crypto rotation, rsi mean-reversion, regime switch, etf selection, safe-haven t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLOK
Amplify Blockchain Technology ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
WGMI
Valkyrie ETF Trust II CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF
Stocks