Fund Surfing + V1.1 Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm markets it buys the most sold-off fund among 3x S&P, 3x Nasdaq, and short-term Treasuries. When markets are rough, it either buys only big dips or parks in a safety mix (USD, gold, staples). In healthy uptrends it runs a leveraged stocks+bonds blend.
1) Is the market calm? If daily moves in the S&P 500 have been very small, the strategy “surfs” dips: it buys whichever of three funds looks most beaten-down recently: 3x S&P (UPRO), 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ), or short-term Treasuries (SHY).
2) If it’s not calm, it checks for a bigger market drawdown. In bigger drawdowns, it buys only large weekly dips in the Nasdaq or S&P (and avoids chasing a sudden +5% daily rebound); otherwise it sits in a safety mix: the U.S. dollar (UUP), gold (GLD), and consumer-staples stocks (XLP).
3) If the market isn’t in a big drawdown, it runs a growth blend: 3x stocks (UPRO/TQQQ sized by recent risk) plus 3x long Treasuries (TMF) when conditions are friendly, or the same safety mix when they’re not.
4) It uses two “calm” thresholds and averages them to make transitions smoother.
Seeks higher upside than the S&P by switching modes: dip-buying in calm markets, selective bear dips, or a growth mix in uptrends. Out-of-sample annualized return ~49% vs SPY ~23%, with risk controls and a Calmar ~0.97.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 1.6 | 0.54 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 698.31% | 14.03% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.85 | |
| 192,661.42% | 61.3% | 3.62% | 17.73% | 1.47 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$19,276,141.92Regulatory Fees
$47,914.00
Total Slippage
$320,093.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 20, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, dip-buying, volatility filter, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks