Fund Surfing + V1.1 Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Calm markets: buy the most oversold of 3× stock funds or short Treasuries. Choppy markets: buy big Nasdaq/S&P dips (with bounce-avoidance) or sit in a dollar/gold/staples safety mix. In healthy uptrends, run a 55/45 leveraged stock–bond barbell.
1) Checks how “choppy” SPY has been (21‑day volatility), blending 1% and 2% cutoffs to smooth decisions.
2) If calm: “surf” the most beaten‑down (lowest RSI) of TQQQ/UPRO/SHY. TQQQ/UPRO=3× Nasdaq/S&P; SHY=short‑term Treasuries.
3) If choppy: If SPY’s 1‑yr drop >10%, buy 5‑day >5% dips in QQQ/SPY via TQQQ/UPRO unless they just spiked >5% in 1 day; else hold UUP/GLD/XLP (dollar/gold/staples). If no big drawdown, run ~55% UPRO/TQQQ + ~45% TMF (3× long Treasuries), else safety mix.
Out-of-sample return: 50.6% annualized vs SPY 22.6%, with Calmar 1.01 and Sharpe 1.18. Regime-aware, levered stock-bond exposure plus hedges seek bigger upside than the S&P while managing risk; note higher drawdowns can occur in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 1.61 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690.78% | 13.85% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 180,691.35% | 60.06% | 0.98% | -7.72% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,079,134.64Regulatory Fees
$49,568.38
Total Slippage
$331,805.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 20, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, dip buying, volatility filter, rsi-based, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks