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Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that rotates between U.S. stocks and safer assets. It prefers stocks when the market is calm, shifts defensive when markets get rough, and even switches between mild, 2x, and 3x stock exposure.
This strategy keeps asking one question: should it be in U.S. stocks or in safer assets?
It watches the S&P 500 (SPY). If the market has been calm enough, it may buy stocks—sometimes normal stocks (SPY), sometimes 2x (SSO) or 3x (UPRO) boosted versions. If the market looks too jumpy, it moves to safety: short-term Treasury bonds (SHY) or a defensive mix of the U.S. dollar (UUP), gold (GLD), and consumer-staples stocks (XLP).
It runs many versions of this test using different time windows, then picks the version that has been working best lately.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.36 vs SPY 1.11; annualized return ~29% vs ~17.8%; drawdown ~17.8% vs ~18.8%; Calmar ~1.64. A dynamic stock/safe-asset rotation seeks higher, steadier gains than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.65 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 903.75% | 14.52% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.88 | |
| 6,630.88% | 28.07% | 2.15% | 4.47% | 1.46 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$673,088.30Regulatory Fees
$2,934.20
Total Slippage
$23,675.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 1, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, volatility filter, leveraged equity, defensive rotation, ensemble, momentum switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks