Fund Surfing - Replace TQQQ w/ TECL + V1.1 Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm markets it “surfs” dips in 3× stock funds; when markets get jumpy it only buys big pullbacks or hides in a defensive basket. In healthy uptrends it runs a levered 55/45 stocks–bonds mix. Uses TECL for tech dips, TQQQ elsewhere.
It averages two copies of the rules (using 1% and 2% recent SPY volatility) to smooth signals. If SPY is calm, it “surfs” dips: buys the most beaten‑down of UPRO (3× S&P 500), TECL (3× Tech) or SHY (short‑term Treasuries) using RSI (lower = more sold‑off).
If swings are larger: when the market is >10% below its peak, it buys TQQQ/UPRO after a >5% weekly drop (unless they just spiked >5% in a day), else holds a defensive mix (UUP dollar, GLD gold, XLP staples). If the trend is healthy, it runs ~55% levered stocks (UPRO/TQQQ, volatility‑balanced) and 45% TMF (3× long Treasuries); otherwise stays defensive.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~38.7% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22.9%, with solid risk metrics (Calmar ~0.74, Sharpe ~0.91). Expect larger drawdowns in downturns, but the approach offers higher long‑run growth and smoother signals through dual-volatility filtering.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility filter, mean reversion, trend following, tech tilt, s&p 500, treasuries, defensive hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks