Fund Surfing - Replace TQQQ w/ TECL + V1.1 Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive, dip-buying strategy that chases oversold U.S. stock funds when markets are calm, and shifts to defensive assets or a stocks-plus-bonds mix when markets get rough.
This strategy splits money into two equal halves and asks the same question with two different strictness levels: “Is the stock market calm enough to buy a dip?”
If yes, it buys whichever looks most beaten-down among: a 3x S&P 500 fund (UPRO), a 3x technology fund (TECL), or short-term Treasury bonds (SHY). It judges “beaten-down” with RSI, a short-term stress meter where lower means recently sold hard.
If markets are too jumpy, it switches to backup plans. In rough markets, it only buys sharp pullbacks in the Nasdaq or S&P 500; otherwise it hides in a defensive mix of the U.S. dollar, gold, and consumer staples. In healthier markets, it uses an aggressive mix of leveraged U.S. stocks plus leveraged long-term Treasury bonds, but moves defensive if stocks start sliding.
Out-of-sample shows higher growth: about 24.2% annually vs S&P's 21.5%, with adaptive dips-and-defense bets. Captures bigger upside in calm markets while rotating to safer assets in turbulence—balanced by higher volatility and drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 1.69 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 788.64% | 14.08% | -1.22% | 2.47% | 0.86 | |
| 93,304.18% | 51.05% | -13.09% | -9.17% | 1.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,340,418.26Regulatory Fees
$27,355.24
Total Slippage
$234,969.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, dip buying, volatility filter, regime switching, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks