Fund Surfing - Replace TQQQ w/ TECL
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm markets, buy the 3× stock fund (broad S&P 500 or tech) that’s most “on sale” by a simple dip score; in medium chop, hold half bonds; in high chop, hold only short‑term Treasuries. Uses SPY’s volatility and 21‑day RSI to decide.
- First, it checks how “jumpy” the stock market is using SPY’s past‑month volatility (21‑day standard deviation).
- If very calm (<1%), buy the fund that has dipped the most lately (lowest 21‑day RSI) among: UPRO=3× S&P 500, TECL=3× tech, or SHY=short‑term Treasuries (RSI: lower = more oversold).
- If somewhat calm (1–2%), split 50/50 between that pick and SHY.
- If choppy (≥2%), hold SHY.
Out-of-sample edge: 22.16% annualized return vs SPY’s 21.83%, using volatility gates and 3x ETFs to capture upside in calm markets while shielding with bonds in choppier times. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 1.23 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 972.47% | 14.82% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.9 | |
| 24,405.82% | 37.77% | -3.26% | 3.17% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,450,582.10Regulatory Fees
$7,303.05
Total Slippage
$58,032.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, technology tilt