Fund Surfing - Replace TQQQ w/ TECL
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
In calm markets, buy the 3× stock fund (broad S&P 500 or tech) that’s most “on sale” by a simple dip score; in medium chop, hold half bonds; in high chop, hold only short‑term Treasuries. Uses SPY’s volatility and 21‑day RSI to decide.
- First, it checks how “jumpy” the stock market is using SPY’s past‑month volatility (21‑day standard deviation).
- If very calm (<1%), buy the fund that has dipped the most lately (lowest 21‑day RSI) among: UPRO=3× S&P 500, TECL=3× tech, or SHY=short‑term Treasuries (RSI: lower = more oversold).
- If somewhat calm (1–2%), split 50/50 between that pick and SHY.
- If choppy (≥2%), hold SHY.
Out-of-sample return 24.38% vs SPY 22.46%, via volatility-gated dip-buy into 3x equity or bonds. Seeks higher upside in calm markets with risk controls in chop, offering diversification beyond SPY—though drawdowns and Sharpe may be worse.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 1.21 | 0.39 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 924.62% | 14.79% | 0.09% | 13.88% | 0.89 | |
| 24,439.58% | 38.56% | 10.84% | 15.51% | 1.15 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,453,957.95Regulatory Fees
$6,907.47
Total Slippage
$56,196.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, technology tilt