Funcle Stagflation Defense Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A monthly-rebalanced, inflation-focused, multi-asset strategy combining inflation hedges, commodities, real assets, and selective sector bets with a dynamic risk-control rule based on a TIP moving-average signal, plus international diversification.
- Purpose: defend purchasing power and capital during inflationary, slow-growth periods by combining inflation hedges, real assets, and selective sector bets with a risk-control rule.
- Core hedges: TIP/VTIP (inflation-protected bonds), GLD (gold), and commodity plays (DBC, DBA, USO) provide inflation exposure and diversification.
- Real assets: VNQ (real estate) and NFRA (infrastructure) add exposure to assets that can benefit from rising prices and inflation transmission.
- Dynamic risk rule: A 20-day vs 60-day moving-average signal on TIP price decides whether to tilt into pro-cyclical sectors (value, energy, materials, staples, utilities) or to park in cash-like assets (floating-rate bonds and short-term Treasuries).
- International sleeve: EEM, BWX, FXA broaden exposure beyond the U.S. to diversify growth, debt, and currency dynamics.
- Rebalance: Every month, adjust holdings back to these target weights to maintain the intended risk and return profile.
Inflation-focused, multi-asset strategy delivering superior risk-adjusted results. OOS: ~19.5% annualized vs SPY’s 15.1%; Sharpe ~3.11 vs 1.26; max drawdown ~2.1% vs 5.1%; low beta (~0.25) and positive alpha, with broad diversification.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 19, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Stagflation defense, inflation hedges, multi-asset, dynamic allocation, global diversification
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BWX
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
FLOT
iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF
Stocks
FXA
Invesco CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
NFRA
FlexShares STOXX Global Broad Infrastructure Index Fund
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks