Funcle Irrational Analysis 2026 Irrational Ideas Tech Infrastructure
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-updated, three-tier momentum strategy: invest up to three top infrastructure tech stocks if the market trend is positive and each stock is above its own short-term average; otherwise park risk in cash (BIL).
- Every day, check if the tech market (proxied by QQQ) is in an uptrend (price above its 200-day average). If not, stay mostly in cash via BIL.
- If uptrend is confirmed, look at seven infrastructure tech names: Lumentum (LITE), Tower Semiconductor (TSEM), Ciena (CIEN), Camtek (CAMT), Bloom Energy (BE), SiTime (SITM), Intel (INTC).
- Rank these by 12-month performance and consider the top 3.
- Tranche 1 (33%): take the top-ranked stock. If that stock’s current price > its 50-day moving average, invest 33% in it; otherwise, allocate 33% to BIL.
- Tranche 2 (33%): same rule using the 2nd-ranked stock.
- Tranche 3 (33%): same rule using the 3rd-ranked stock.
- The result is up to three stock investments (one per tranche) or cash placements, all adjusted daily.
- BIL serves as the cash proxy and stabilizer.
Daily-updated, cash-stable three-tranche momentum in infrastructure tech. Only buys in uptrends. Out-of-sample: Calmar 13.48, max drawdown 7.17%, annualized return 96.73%, Sharpe 1.31—delivering strong risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.69 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103.1% | 14.32% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 334.72% | 32% | 15.39% | 87.97% | 0.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$43,471.65Regulatory Fees
$56.02
Total Slippage
$280.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, momentum, sector rotation, risk controls, cash proxy, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BE
Bloom Energy Corporation
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CAMT
Camtek Ltd
Stocks
CIEN
Ciena Corporation
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SITM
SiTime Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd
Stocks