Funcle Irrational Analysis 2026 Irrational Ideas Tech Infrastructure
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tech‑infrastructure momentum with trend guards: invest in the past‑year winners (heaviest on the #1 name) when QQQ is in an uptrend; otherwise sit in T‑bills (BIL). Slice‑level 50‑day checks can park portions in cash when trends weaken.
Daily: if QQQ is above its 200‑day average (avg of last ~200 days), the strategy is on; else 100% in BIL (T‑bills). When on, it splits into 3 equal buckets that buy the past‑year top 1, top 2, and top 3 from: Lumentum, Tower Semi, Ciena, Camtek, Bloom Energy, SiTime, Intel. Buckets only switch on if Lumentum/Tower/Camtek is above its own 50‑day average; else that bucket stays in BIL. Net: the #1 name gets the most.
Tech-infra momentum with risk guards: ride uptrends in top names, park in cash when risk rises. OOS return ~97%, Sharpe ~1.31, max drawdown ~7.17%, Calmar ~13.48. Stronger risk-adjusted upside and better downside protection vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.67 | 0.08 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107.44% | 14.89% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 332.81% | 32.13% | 27.57% | 41.99% | 0.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$43,280.82Regulatory Fees
$55.33
Total Slippage
$276.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, tactical tech, semiconductors, networking hardware, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BE
Bloom Energy Corporation
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CAMT
Camtek Ltd
Stocks
CIEN
Ciena Corporation
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SITM
SiTime Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd
Stocks