Funcle Irrational Analysis 2026 Irrational Ideas Tech Infrastructure
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A defensive tech-infrastructure strategy: it buys the strongest stocks in a small AI/semiconductor/networking basket when tech trends are healthy, and shifts to short-term Treasuries when they are not.
The strategy first checks whether the overall tech market is healthy using QQQ, a popular tech-heavy fund. If QQQ is below its long-term trend, it moves everything into BIL, a very safe short-term Treasury fund.
If tech looks healthy, it ranks 7 tech-infrastructure stocks by their past 1-year performance and buys the strongest ones. Three separate checks using Lumentum, Tower Semiconductor, and Camtek decide how much of the portfolio stays invested versus parked in BIL.
Defensive, trend-following AI/semis momentum. Out-of-sample: ~47% annualized return vs SPY ~16%, Calmar ~1.71, with cash hedges. Strong upside in tech upcycles and protection when markets turn.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.72 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133.98% | 15.41% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.95 | |
| 330.73% | 27.91% | -13.53% | -6.33% | 0.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$43,073.19Regulatory Fees
$80.42
Total Slippage
$469.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, technology infrastructure, semiconductors, tactical allocation, defensive cash filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BE
Bloom Energy Corporation
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CAMT
Camtek Ltd
Stocks
CIEN
Ciena Corporation
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SITM
SiTime Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd
Stocks