Funcle Irrational Analysis 2026 Irrational Ideas Tech Infrastructure
Today’s Change (Mar 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tech‑infrastructure momentum with trend guards: invest in the past‑year winners (heaviest on the #1 name) when QQQ is in an uptrend; otherwise sit in T‑bills (BIL). Slice‑level 50‑day checks can park portions in cash when trends weaken.
Daily: if QQQ is above its 200‑day average (avg of last ~200 days), the strategy is on; else 100% in BIL (T‑bills). When on, it splits into 3 equal buckets that buy the past‑year top 1, top 2, and top 3 from: Lumentum, Tower Semi, Ciena, Camtek, Bloom Energy, SiTime, Intel. Buckets only switch on if Lumentum/Tower/Camtek is above its own 50‑day average; else that bucket stays in BIL. Net: the #1 name gets the most.
Tech-infrastructure momentum with dual risk guards: risk-on only when QQQ is in uptrend; else 100% BIL. Out-of-sample Calmar 13.48 and ~7% max drawdown signal strong risk-adjusted upside and better downside protection vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.68 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103.58% | 14.45% | -2.64% | -1.35% | 0.89 | |
| 282.52% | 29.02% | 8.41% | 26.84% | 0.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$38,251.98Regulatory Fees
$55.42
Total Slippage
$276.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, tactical tech, semiconductors, networking hardware, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BE
Bloom Energy Corporation
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CAMT
Camtek Ltd
Stocks
CIEN
Ciena Corporation
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SITM
SiTime Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd
Stocks