Franklin Simple Regime Switching, Dip Buying, Shorting with Leveraged Nasdaq (2x), and MACD
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rules-based switch: ride uptrends with 2x Nasdaq (QLD), defend in downtrends with USD (UUP), buy deep dips, or split between −2x Nasdaq (QID) and Staples (XLP). Signals come from SPY’s 200‑day average and a short-term RSI.
It watches the S&P 500 (SPY). If SPY is above its 200‑day average, it buys a 2x Nasdaq‑100 fund (QLD). If SPY is below: when the 200‑day avg is above the 50‑day avg (downtrend), it holds the U.S. dollar (UUP). Otherwise it checks RSI (a short‑term “overbought/oversold” score): if RSI<30, buy QLD; if not, split 50/50 between a −2x Nasdaq fund (QID) and Consumer Staples (XLP).
Out-of-sample: ~41.8% annualized return vs SPY ~23.1%. Calmar ~1.31; max drawdown ~32% (vs ~19% for SPY). Regime-switching with QLD/UUP/XLP/QID aims for higher upside while defending downtrends—stronger growth with built-in risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.86 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 567.31% | 10.5% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.6 | |
| 26,935.85% | 34.26% | 0.99% | -5.44% | 1.07 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,703,584.99Regulatory Fees
$1,468.41
Total Slippage
$8,471.41
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 26, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, regime switching, leveraged etfs, rsi, tactical rotation, shorting, defensive assets