Fragility-Optimized Barbell v1 (Original)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Fragility-Optimized Barbell is a rule-based mix: 40% robust long-duration bonds (TLT), 40% antifragile core (GLD 25% + IBIT 15%), 15% managed futures (DBMF), and 5% cash (BIL). Rebalance quarterly or when a drift >10% or VIX >25 occurs. Aimed at mild antifragility with diversification across stress hedges and liquidity.
- The portfolio is built from four blocks: Antifragile Core (GLD 25%, IBIT 15%), Robust Anchor (TLT 40%), Hedge/Alternatives (DBMF 15%), and Cash (BIL 5%).
- Rebalance quarterly to maintain target weights.
- If any asset’s weight drifts by more than 10 percentage points from its target, or if the VIX index rises above 25, rebalance earlier to restore the intended balance and reduce risk.
- VIX > 25 signals market fear; the plan shifts back toward resilience (more ballast or cash) as needed.
- The aim is to keep a steady exposure to both stress-tested assets (gold, bitcoin) and risk-off ballast (long Treasuries), with a trend-following hedge (DBMF) and liquidity (BIL) to weather different market regimes.
Out-of-sample results show Fragility-Optimized Barbell delivering steadier, lower-drawdown performance vs the S&P 500 by balancing ballast (TLT), antifragile assets (GLD/IBIT), trend hedges (DBMF), and cash (BIL).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3% | 18.44% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.13 | |
| 48.2% | 19.91% | 1.32% | 3.84% | 1.56 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,819.97Regulatory Fees
$0.23
Total Slippage
$1.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 24, 2026
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Portfolio construction, antifragile barbell, risk management, etf-based strategy, hedging