FR with Tweaked TQQQ For The Long Term V11 - Archive (BT: 4/4/24)
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rides big‑tech uptrends via TQQQ, but when markets look overheated it flips to crash insurance (UVXY/BTAL). In downtrends it leans defensive with UVXY or bonds and may short Nasdaq (SQQQ). Rules update and rebalance daily.
Each day it checks two things: heat and trend. Heat: if many indexes/sectors look overheated (a 0–100 recent‑gains gauge near 80+), it buys crash insurance: UVXY (volatility fund), sometimes 75/25 with BTAL (anti‑beta hedge). If not overheated: if the long‑term trend is up, it rides TQQQ (3× Nasdaq), briefly flipping to SQQQ (inverse) after sharp drops. If the trend breaks, it shifts to UVXY or bonds (TLT/BSV). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample: ~39% annualized return vs SPY ~19.7%, fueled by crash insurance in overheated markets and tech uptrends. Higher upside but large drawdowns (~55%). Sharpe ~0.82 vs ~1.14; Calmar ~0.71— more upside, higher risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604.26% | 14.62% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.9 | |
| 31,507,572,176.7% | 292.7% | 1.19% | -23.02% | 2.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,150,757,227,670.38Regulatory Fees
$2,192,810,616.51
Total Slippage
$3,729,605,009.07
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks