Four Corners | Anansi Mod | 2011-10-04
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rules-based “four corners” plan that shifts between tech beta (sometimes 3x), safety (Treasuries, gold), and hedges. It reacts to volatility, overbought/oversold, credit vs cash, and QQQ vs utilities leadership, with a constant contrarian utilities‑vs‑gold sleeve.
It follows a playbook driven by simple signals:
- If QQQ is very jumpy, split 50/50 between (a) QQQ or a QQQ short (based on a rates-vs-hedge signal) and (b) safety (long Treasuries + gold).
- If not jumpy and QQQ is washed out, buy 3x tech/semis + safety.
- If markets look stretched, pair a VIX hedge (UVXY) with staples (XLP).
- Else, if QQQ beats utilities long‑term, use aggressive equity (often 3x) when credit beats cash; otherwise use market‑neutral/hedged. The other half always buys the laggard of utilities vs gold/miners.
Out-of-sample edge: 41.4% annualized return, 1.41 Sharpe, and 17.35% max drawdown vs S&P 18.76%. Higher risk-adjusted growth with built-in hedges and regime-switching, aiming for stronger upside with less downside than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching,tactical asset allocation,momentum & mean reversion,leveraged etfs,defensive hedging,gold/bonds rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks