FLTL: TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link)
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Aggressive market-timing centered on TQQQ. Keeps 20% cash and adds 20% Bitcoin in uptrends or 20% 3× Gold in downtrends. The core 60% flips among TQQQ, SQQQ, or VXX using moving-average trend and short-term RSI (hot/overbought vs cold/oversold).
1) Check if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 150-day average. If yes: hold 20% Bitcoin (GBTC); if not: hold 20% 3× Gold (SHNY). Keep 20% cash. 2) The main 60%: If SPY > 200-day avg, hold 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ) unless it’s “too hot” (RSI(10)>~80), then use VXX (a fear gauge). If SPY <= 200-day avg, switch among TQQQ, 3× inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ) or GBTC using short-term RSI and TQQQ’s 20-day average. RSI=0–100 speedometer; >70 hot, <30 cold.
Out-of-sample: ~42.4% annualized return vs SPY ~29.8%, with 20% cash and a 60% tactical core plus Bitcoin (uptrends) or 3x Gold (downtrends). Calmar ~1.85 signals solid risk-adjusted upside, albeit higher drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 1.9 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.5% | 21.73% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 1.37 | |
| 610.09% | 86.58% | 33.05% | -8.18% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$71,008.60Regulatory Fees
$36.45
Total Slippage
$201.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 12, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, crypto, gold, cash buffer
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type