Feaver Frontrunner V3 simplified bil only>KMLM | 2.1 XLK RSI KMLM 20d SMA Switcher WM 74
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, cash-anchored tactical strategy that toggles between bullish and bearish ETF exposures using SPY trend, momentum signals, and a KMLM-based switch, with BIL as cash anchor and daily rebalancing.
- Every day, check the market’s overall trend: is SPY trading above its 200-day moving average? If yes, the strategy goes into Bull mode; if no, it goes into Bear mode.
- Bull mode uses momentum checks (RSI) on SPY. If SPY’s RSI over a short window is very high (above 79), the plan tilts toward high-beta, leveraged equity ETFs (for example SPXL, TQQQ, TECL, SOXL) to chase upside.
- A secondary signal uses KMLM’s price relative to its 20-day moving average to decide whether to push hard into the bull tilt or to pull back. If KMLM is above its 20-day SMA, the system favors the bull tilt with a full allocation to the chosen bullish assets; if not, it reduces exposure or switches to other signals.
- In Bear mode, the strategy leans on bearish/hedging positions (for example PSQ, SQQQ, QQQ-related shorts) and risk overlays described in the “Feaver Bear” logic, to protect capital when the market is weak.
- A 60% cash-like allocation (BIL) serves as a liquidity/restraint layer, ensuring a portion of capital stays in a very short-term instrument while the rest is allocated to the active signals.
- The allocation is daily rebalanced, so positions and weights are adjusted every trading day based on the current signals.
- The overall aim is to capture upside in favorable conditions with leverage, while maintaining a safety net through BIL and bear hedges when the market outlook deteriorates.
- Important caveats: leverage magnifies gains and losses; this approach requires tolerance for drawdowns and active risk management; it relies on signals that can whipsaw in choppy markets.
Out-of-sample upside: ~46% annualized vs SPY ~21%, with a cash anchor (BIL), hedges, and daily rebalancing into leveraged uptrends. Higher upside with larger drawdowns; best for risk-tolerant investors.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, tactical allocation, momentum/trend-following, leveraged etfs, risk management, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks