Feaver Frontrunner V3 BIL only>KMLM | 2.1 XLK RSI KMLM 20d SMA Switcher WM 74
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, cash-anchored tactical strategy that mostly sits in BIL but dynamically tilts to leveraged tech ETFs (TECL/SOXL/TQQQ) in favorable momentum regimes, with a separate Bear path and hedges (BTAL/UVXY/PSQ) to protect against downturns; uses KMLM 20d SMA, XLK RSI, and SPY price vs 200-day MA signals to switch between Bull and Bear exposures.
- Core cash anchor: 60% in BIL to keep risk low when signals are weak or negative.
- Market regime decision: a bullish/bearish split is triggered by SPY’s price versus its 200-day moving average; if SPY is above its 200-day line, the system leans toward a Bull tilt; if below, it leans toward Bear.
- Bull path: uses a KMLM 20-day SMA switcher. If KMLM price is below its 20-day average, the strategy signals a high-beta tilt into 3x tech exposures (TECL, SOXL, TQQQ) via a cash-equal construct that may also include hedges (BTAL, UVXY) depending on the signal stack. Momentum filters (RSI on XLK and other assets) guide the exact mix. A sub-branch also considers whether to use or not use the KMLM 20-day SMA signal; the decision changes which leveraged tech mix is activated.
- Bear path: a separate defensive module (Feaver Bear Strat V1.1 Bond Baller Mod) engages long-dated bonds and short/hedged equity elements (QQQ, PSQ, IEF, SH, AGG, TLT, etc.) to cushion drawdowns. This path can layer BTAL and other hedges for volatility control.
- Signal stack and flow: nested if-then rules chain multiple indicators (RSI thresholds like 79/81, current price vs moving averages, cross-asset momentum checks, and KMLM SMA signals) to select assets and weights.
- Rebalancing cadence: daily rebalancing ensures latest signals drive exposures; turnover can be high given the number of indicators and thresholds.
- Risk controls and hedges: BTAL, UVXY, PSQ, SH and other hedges are used to moderate risk, while BIL acts as a liquidity/cash surrogate for rapid downswings.
- Objective: capture upside during favorable regime shifts (especially in tech/ Nasdaq momentum) while shielding capital during drawdowns through a cash anchor and hedging overlays; the approach trades off simplicity for a broad, signal-rich framework that aims to adapt to changing market regimes.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~46% annualized upside by riding leveraged tech in favorable regimes, anchored by cash and hedges to guard losses; historically stronger upside than the S&P with solid risk-adjusted returns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged momentum, multi-signal, hedging, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks