Feaver Bear Strat V1.1 (Bond Baller Mod)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based bear-tilt ETF strategy that uses momentum and trend signals (RSI, price vs. 200-day MA) to switch among Nasdaq bears/leverages and bond/cash hedges, with a bond-heavy hedging bias and full-weight signals when triggered.
- The system runs daily and starts with a cash-equal approach among eligible assets.
- It monitors the market trend using SPY against its 200-day average to gauge the broader regime.
- It uses RSI momentum on multiple ETFs (QQQ, SPY, PSQ, QLD, QID, SH) to detect overbought/oversold conditions and relative strength between assets.
- It layers in relative-performance checks (e.g., QQQ vs SPY, AGG vs SH, BND vs QQQ) over short to medium windows (10–60 days) to decide which bear-or-hedge instruments to favor.
- Positions include Nasdaq bears and levered/short Nasdaq (PSQ, QID, QQQ+, QLD) and hedges via bond/treasury ETFs (BND, AGG, IEF) plus a cash proxy (BIL).
- When a triggering condition fires, the strategy assigns a full weight (100/100) to the chosen exposure, effectively going all-in on that signal for that rebalance cycle.
- The “Bond Baller Mod” aspect emphasizes bond-based hedging in bear regimes, presumably to reduce drawdowns during downturns.
- In sum, the approach seeks to exploit declines in equities (especially tech/nasdaq exposure) while using bonds and cash as ballast, and it does so with daily rule-based rebalancing rather than fixed allocations.
Bear-tilt, daily-rebalanced ETF strategy with Bond Baller hedges. Seeks strong risk-adjusted returns and capital protection. OOS: annualized ~17.9% vs SPY ~19.6%; max drawdown ~16.5% (better than SPY); Calmar ~1.08, solid risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519.21% | 10.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 10,026.08% | 27.89% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,012,607.50Regulatory Fees
$1,923.26
Total Slippage
$10,830.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bearish tactical, etf-based, momentum and rsi signals, hedged with bonds, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks