Feaver Bear Block V3
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based bear‑market sleeve: usually sits in T‑bills; when the S&P 500 turns bearish it mostly shorts the tech‑heavy Nasdaq (PSQ/SQQQ) and occasionally rides rebounds (QQQ/TQQQ), steered by short‑term “hot/cold” scores, trend, and bond signals.
First it checks for extremes: if key stock indexes look very hot (>79) or very cold (<30) on a short-term “hot/cold” score (RSI), it parks in T‑bills (BIL). If the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day trend, it also stays in BIL. If below, it mainly shorts the Nasdaq (PSQ/SQQQ) and sometimes flips long (QQQ/TQQQ) during rebounds. Short‑term trend (20‑day), 60‑day losses, and bond cues (TLT/IEF) guide those choices. Risk is sized by recent volatility.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted growth than the S&P—annualized return ~28.6% vs 17.1%, Sharpe ~1.26 vs ~0.97, max drawdown ~13.9% vs ~18.8%, with positive alpha and negative market beta for hedged exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | -0.3 | 0.04 | -0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661.05% | 13.59% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 12,112.85% | 35.2% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,221,284.98Regulatory Fees
$1,830.90
Total Slippage
$10,744.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear-market hedge, tactical allocation, trend/momentum, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs, rules-based, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
Stocks