Feaver Bear Block V3
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A defensive “bear block”: usually sits in T‑Bills. When the S&P 500 turns bearish, it tactically shorts the tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100 using inverse/leveraged ETFs (high risk), occasionally flipping long for brief bounces. Rebalances daily.
Daily rules. If markets look overheated or washed‑out (RSI: a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge of recent moves), park in BIL (T‑Bills). If SPY (S&P 500) is above its 200‑day trend, stay in BIL. If below, a bear engine mostly shorts the Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) via PSQ (‑1x) or SQQQ (‑3x), and rarely goes long QQQ/TQQQ (+3x) on bounces. Bond ETFs (TLT, IEF) break ties. Two sleeves are blended, favoring the calmer one.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.26 vs 0.97, max drawdown 14% vs 18.8%, annualized return 28.6% vs 17.1%, Calmar ~2.06, beta -0.30. A defensive Nasdaq-100 tilt offers steadier, higher risk-adjusted gains than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | -0.3 | 0.04 | -0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 677.32% | 13.77% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 12,098.17% | 35.28% | 0.27% | 0.87% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,219,817.09Regulatory Fees
$1,830.90
Total Slippage
$10,744.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, bear-hedge, market timing, momentum/rsi, trend following, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
Stocks