Feaver Bear Block V3 05/30/2007
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based bear‑market sleeve. It usually sits in cash; when the S&P 500 trends down, it mainly shorts the tech‑heavy Nasdaq using inverse ETFs, guided by simple “heat” (RSI) and trend rules, with bond strength as a tie‑breaker.
60% sits in a “bear block.” First it checks short‑term “RSI” (a 0–100 heat meter) on big indexes (SPY=S&P 500, QQQ=Nasdaq‑100, IOO=global, VTV=value, XLF=banks). If they’re too hot (>~80) or too weak (<~30), it parks in BIL (T‑Bills). If the S&P 500 is below its 200‑day average (a downtrend), it leaves cash and mostly bets against the Nasdaq (PSQ or 2× QID), sometimes going long (QQQ/2× QLD) if bonds (TLT/IEF) look strong. In uptrends, it stays in cash.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.19 vs SPY ~0.97; return ~18.69% vs 17.05%; max drawdown ~11.5% vs ~18.8%; beta ~−0.21; Calmar ~1.62. A disciplined bear sleeve that hedges rallies and compounds in declines.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | -0.2 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519.21% | 10.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 13,863.99% | 30.1% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.23 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,396,399.17Regulatory Fees
$3,337.64
Total Slippage
$19,163.41
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear-market hedge, tactical etf rotation, rsi/trend rules, nasdaq focus, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
Stocks