Feaver Bear Block V3 05/30/2007
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very active market-timing strategy that mostly plays the Nasdaq, but often retreats to T-bills when stocks look overheated, oversold, or risky.
This strategy checks whether major stock markets look too hot, too weak, or in a downtrend. If things look extreme, it hides in very short-term Treasury bills (BIL). Otherwise, in weaker market conditions, it makes short-term bets mainly on the Nasdaq using regular, leveraged, or inverse funds like QQQ, QLD, PSQ, and QID, while also using Treasury ETFs as warning signals.
Out-of-sample Nasdaq-timing strategy offers a safer ride: 12.38% annualized vs 16.67% for the S&P, but with smaller drawdown (11.53% vs 18.76%) and Calmar ~1.07, plus alpha. Less stress, still meaningful upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | -0.2 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619.22% | 10.72% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.62 | |
| 13,992.73% | 29.11% | 0.32% | 0.94% | 1.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,409,273.37Regulatory Fees
$2,954.12
Total Slippage
$20,334.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, nasdaq-focused, leveraged/inverse etfs, defensive cash, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF
Stocks