FDN VS XLU WM 74
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, binary momentum strategy: if FDN’s 21-day momentum beats XLU’s, go all-in on TQQQ; otherwise park in BIL. 100% allocation to a single asset each day, with leverage and sector-timing risk baked in.
Each day:
1) Measure momentum: compute the 21-day RSI for FDN (internet sector) and for XLU (utilities sector).
2) Compare: if RSI(FDN) is higher than RSI(XLU), the system bets on strength in internet/tech by buying TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100).
3) Else: put the money into BIL (short-term U.S. Treasuries) for safety.
4) Rebalance daily, fully allocating to the chosen asset (no diversification across multiple assets).
Notes: TQQQ is a high-risk, high-reward levered ETF; BIL is a low-risk, cash-like ETF. The strategy rotates between a leveraged equity exposure and a cash-like position based on a simple momentum signal between two sector ETFs.
Out-of-sample edge: ~30.7% annualized return vs ~18.5% S&P 500, Calmar ~1.32, beta ~0.79. Binary momentum between leveraged tech and cash offers strong risk-adjusted upside, with higher drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 1.21 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 12,106.52% | 34.86% | 0.27% | 10.68% | 0.99 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,220,651.86Regulatory Fees
$3,104.61
Total Slippage
$16,796.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum; sector rotation; leveraged etfs; binary allocation; tactical timing