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Fabien Market timing model
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Times the U.S. stock market daily: shorts a bit when things look overheated, buys TQQQ on deep dips, otherwise holds QQQ in uptrends or rotates to defensive sectors (utilities/staples) when trends weaken.
NutHow it works
Each day it asks: 1) Is the market overheated? It uses RSI, a 0–100 “heat” score; >75–80 = too hot. If SPY (S&P 500), TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), XLY (consumer discretionary), or XLP (staples) look too hot, it puts ~40% in SH (an ETF that goes up when the S&P 500 falls). 2) If not hot: if TQQQ is washed out (RSI<31), buy TQQQ. Otherwise follow the 200‑day trend: if SPY and other checks are strong, hold QQQ (Nasdaq‑100); if not, shift to defensive sectors (utilities XLU, staples XLP).
CheckmarkValue prop
Even through OOS headwinds, this strategy diversifies and protects capital vs the S&P 500: overheated signals trigger ~40% SH hedges; on dips it seeks growth via TQQQ/QQQ and rotates to defensives, aiming for lower drawdown and smoother returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.220.970.370.61
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
724.66%14.11%-0.15%0.4%0.86
19,429.62%39.08%0.96%5%1.34
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,952,962.45
Regulatory Fees
$5,100.02
Total Slippage
$29,755.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Market timing, trend following, mean reversion, us equities, sector rotation, inverse etf, leveraged etf, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLY
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Fabien Market timing model" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Fabien Market timing model" is currently allocated toXLPandXLU. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Fabien Market timing model" has returned 3.25%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Fabien Market timing model" is 2.51%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Fabien Market timing model", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.