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Fabien Market timing model
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Daily tactical model: fade overbought markets with a partial S&P 500 short, buy deep tech dips, and otherwise follow the long‑term trend, rotating between QQQ (growth) and defensive sectors (utilities/staples).
NutHow it works
Each day it checks a few simple signals. - If short‑term “heat” is high (RSI) in staples (XLP), tech proxy (TQQQ), discretionary (XLY) or the S&P 500 (SPY), it puts 40% in SH (the inverse S&P 500) and leaves the rest in cash. - Otherwise, if tech is very washed‑out (RSI low), it buys TQQQ (3x QQQ). If not, it follows the 200‑day trend: if the market is up, prefer QQQ; if not, hold XLU/XLP (defensive). Tickers: SPY=S&P 500, SH=its inverse, QQQ=Nasdaq‑100, TQQQ=3x QQQ, DIA=Dow, XLU=Utilities, XLP=Staples, XLY=Discretionary. RSI is a 0–100 short‑term “heat” score; the 200‑day average is a long‑term trend line.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: lower drawdown and solid risk-adjusted returns. oos drawdown 8.08% vs SPY 8.89%; Calmar ~2.17; alpha from tech/defense rotation. A resilient, upside-leaning path vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.220.960.360.6
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
809.77%14.46%-0.14%8.54%0.88
20,799.4%38.66%0.51%0.78%1.33
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,089,940.35
Regulatory Fees
$4,902.14
Total Slippage
$36,332.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Market-timing, tactical-allocation, equities, etfs, trend-following, mean-reversion, sector-rotation, shorting, leveraged-etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLY
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Fabien Market timing model" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Fabien Market timing model" is currently allocated toXLPandXLU. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Fabien Market timing model" has returned 17.54%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Fabien Market timing model" is 8.08%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Fabien Market timing model", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.

Securities products and brokerage services are offered by Composer Securities LLC, a broker-dealer registered with the SEC and member of FINRA / SIPC. Composer Securities LLC and Composer Technologies Inc. are separate but affiliated companies. Accounts are carried and securities execution, clearance and settlement services are provided by Alpaca Securities LLC, and Apex Clearing Corporation, SEC-registered broker-dealers and members of FINRA / SIPC. Alpaca Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of AlpacaDB, Inc. Apex Clearing Corporation, is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Apex Fintech Solutions Inc. Check the background of Composer Securities LLC, Alpaca Securities LLC, and Apex Clearing Corporation on FINRA BrokerCheck . This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Composer Securities is not registered. Securities products offered by Composer Securities are not FDIC insured

With any investment, your capital is at risk. The value of your portfolio with Composer can go down as well as up. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. By using this website, you accept our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Payment Agreement.

Please see Composer Securities' Customer Relationship Summary.

Keep in mind, investing involves risk. Examples are for illustrative purposes and are not a recommendation, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Online trading has inherent risk due to system response, execution price, speed, liquidity, market data and access times that may vary due to market conditions, system performance, market volatility, size and type of order and other factors. An investor should understand these and additional risks before trading.

Options trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option with Composer Securities LLC, please read the "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options," also known as the Options Disclosure Document (ODD). You can access the ODD by clicking here. Options transactions are often complex and can expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. In some cases, you may lose your entire investment in a relatively short period. Furthermore, certain complex options strategies carry additional risk, including the potential for losses that may exceed your original investment amount.

Please read important legal disclosures.

Composer Securities does not provide tax advice. This material is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a substitute for consultation with a qualified tax professional before making any investment decisions.

The cash sweep program is made available in coordination with Apex Clearing Corporation through Composer Securities. Please read the Important Disclosures for more information.

Composer Securities is a member of SIPC, which protects securities customers of its members up to $500,000 (including $250,000 for claims for cash). Explanatory brochure available upon request or at www.sipc.org. SIPC does not protect against market losses.

Securities products are: Not FDIC insured · Not bank guaranteed · May lose value

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