Extra Levered Way Too Long Backtest Switchboard
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, multi-strategy regime-switching backtest that rotates between leveraged Nasdaq exposure, standard stock proxies, sector bets, and bonds using simple trend, momentum, and performance signals. It aims to ride strong markets with Nasdaq leverage and shift to safer bets on weakness; high complexity and leverage imply high risk.
Think of this as a daily dashboard that picks one or more ETFs to own from a big list. It looks at signals like: - Is the price trending above or below a long-term average (a simple trend check)? - Is momentum strong or weak (using RSI-style signals that say 'overbought' or 'oversold')? - How do assets compare in recent performance (which ones look best or worst recently)? Based on these, it rotates between aggressive Nasdaq exposure (like TQQQ or UPRO), standard stock proxies (SPY, QQQ), sector choices (XLK for tech, XLP for staples), and bond/defensive plays (TMF, BND, IEF, SHY, SHV). It often uses short-term dips (low RSI) as buying opportunities (“dip buying”) and may switch to hedging assets (like QID, an inverse/short Nasdaq proxy) when conditions suggest risk is rising. The decision is re-evaluated and rebalanced daily, with cash distributed across groups to control risk. It combines trend checks, momentum signals, and relative strength rankings to pick the day’s holdings. Note: this is a backtest with many moving parts; real-world results require careful execution, costs, and risk control.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher upside than the S&P 500: ~41% annualized return vs ~22% for SPY, with a Calmar ~1.13 from Nasdaq leverage in strong markets and bond rotations in downturns; higher drawdowns are possible.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 1.45 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.93% | 14.13% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 135,181.05% | 58.77% | 3.24% | -0.78% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$13,528,105.19Regulatory Fees
$24,227.61
Total Slippage
$158,306.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, leveraged etfs, momentum, sector/bond rotation, backtesting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks