Extra Levered Way Too Long Backtest Switchboard
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily switchboard that selects the best recent playbook, then uses trendlines and a hot/cold gauge to toggle between 3x tech stocks (TQQQ/UPRO/ROM), Treasuries (TMF), shorts (QID), or cash‑like bonds. Heavy Tech/Treasuries tilt; very aggressive.
Each day it picks 1 playbook that’s been strong recently with lower risk. That playbook then checks: long‑term trend (price vs 200‑day avg) and a “hot/cold” score (RSI). If uptrend or a sharp dip, it buys leveraged growth: TQQQ (3x Nasdaq), UPRO (3x S&P), ROM (2x Tech). If overheated, it parks in TMF (3x Treasuries). In downtrends it shifts to XLP (Staples), SHV/SHY/BSV/BIL (cash‑like), or shorts via QID (‑2x). Small tilts: QQQ, XLK, SPY, oil DBO, dollar UUP.
Stronger upside with disciplined risk. Out-of-sample: ~41% annualized vs ~21.7% for the S&P, Calmar ~1.13. Leveraged tech in favorable regimes; shifts to Treasuries/cash when overheated.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum & mean reversion, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, trend following, short/hedging, bonds–stocks rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
ROM
ProShares Ultra Technology
Stocks