[ETF Only] 80/20 | V2 | Cautious Fund Surfing | 3x with V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR & TQQQ v0.4
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, multi-slice ETF strategy that shifts between 3x leveraged stock bets (UPRO/TQQQ) and defensive hedges (TMF, UUP, GLD, XLP) based on momentum, dip checks, and risk signals to balance growth and protection.
The fund runs many signals in parallel across different time horizons. If the market looks favorable (based on momentum, dip signals, and moving averages), it allocates to equal-weighted 3x long stock bets (UPRO and TQQQ). If risk rises (drawdown, volatility, or momentum cues flip), it shifts toward defensive assets: dollar index (UUP), gold (GLD), staples (XLP), and long Treasuries (TMF) for hedging. Daily rebalancing updates the mix as signals change. The system also uses dip-check logic to try to buy the dip using leveraged longs when short-term momentum dips across SPY/QQQ are observed, while keeping a separate risk-off module (HFEAR) when broader risk appears elevated. A broad risk-control framework (max drawdown, standard deviation, and moving-average tests) helps prevent catastrophic losses. In short: it tries to ride up moves with high-leverage bets, but automatically moves into safer assets and hedges when risk signals indicate trouble, spreading risk across a diversified ETF set and adjusting exposure day by day.
Out-of-sample: ~55% annualized return vs SPY ~23%, Calmar ~1.21. Daily adaptive 3x longs with hedges aim for higher growth than the S&P 500, while rotating to defensives to manage risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 1.43 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 591.22% | 14.59% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.9 | |
| 220,478.69% | 71.98% | -4.18% | -3.32% | 1.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,057,868.83Regulatory Fees
$31,087.06
Total Slippage
$203,982.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Etf, leveraged etfs, tactical asset allocation, risk management, market timing, multi-slice backtest
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks