Enhanced Momentum: Simple ETF- Leverage -
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly market-timing strategy: if the bond market looks healthy, it buys the 2 strongest recent ETFs from a stock/bond mix; if not, it hides in U.S. Treasury bonds.
Every 3 months, the strategy first checks the bond market’s mood: if broad bonds (BND) have done better than very short-term Treasury bills (BIL) over the last 60 days, it assumes investors are comfortable taking risk.
In that case, it buys the 2 strongest performers from the last 90 days among MDY, QQQ, SHY, UPRO, and TQQQ, splitting money evenly. If not, it moves everything into IEF, a fund of medium-term U.S. government bonds.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~20.7% vs SPY ~20.5%, beta ~0.78, positive alpha, Calmar ~1.07. Momentum-driven, quarterly risk-off hedges reduce market risk and offer diversification beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 839.47% | 14.73% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.9 | |
| 4,568.18% | 26.58% | -0.67% | -2.28% | 0.99 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$466,818.44Regulatory Fees
$152.72
Total Slippage
$1,096.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, us stocks, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
MDY
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks