Enhanced Momentum: Simple ETF- Leverage -
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly, rules-based switch. If bonds beat T‑bills over 60 days, go “risk‑on” and split between the 2 strongest ETFs (may include 3x equity funds). If not, move fully to 7–10Y Treasuries. Simple momentum with a risk-on/off filter.
Every quarter it checks the last 60 days: if the total US bond market (BND) beat T‑bills (BIL), it’s “risk‑on.” If not, it’s “risk‑off.”
• Risk‑off: put 100% in IEF (7–10Y Treasuries).
• Risk‑on: pick the 2 best 90‑day performers from MDY (mid‑caps), QQQ (big tech), SHY (short Treasuries), UPRO/TQQQ (3x funds). Split 50/50. Leveraged funds are high risk.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~31.2% annualized returns with a Calmar ~1.62, beating the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted terms. It uses a simple quarterly risk-on/off switch plus momentum picks, with Treasuries hedging drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.91 | 0.3 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.15% | 14.43% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.88 | |
| 4,791.37% | 28.18% | 1.65% | -1.84% | 1.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$489,137.33Regulatory Fees
$184.84
Total Slippage
$1,096.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, tactical asset allocation, risk-on/off, etfs, leveraged etfs, us equities, us treasuries, quarterly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
MDY
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks