emergent markets 2024
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Usually holds global developed stocks (URTH). But when the US is trending up and emerging markets look overheated versus the US, it flips to an inverse EM fund (EUM) to bet on a short‑term EM pullback. Rebalanced daily.
- Baseline: hold a global developed‑markets stock fund (URTH).
- First check: is the US market (SPY) in a long‑term uptrend? (price above its 200‑day average). If not, stay in URTH.
- If yes, check if emerging markets (EEM) look “overheated” using a short‑term speedometer (RSI). If RSI isn’t very high, stay in URTH.
- If EEM is very hot and running stronger than the US, switch to an ETF (EUM) that goes up when emerging markets fall. Recheck daily.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted return (Sharpe 1.263) and stronger downside control (Calmar 1.279; max drawdown 15.49% vs SPY 18.76%), with beta ~0.87. Returns near-SPY (19.81% vs 20.05%) but with a smoother, safer ride.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | 0.9 | 0.76 | 0.87 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 577.34% | 14.52% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 494.35% | 13.47% | -0.08% | 0.02% | 0.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$59,434.70Regulatory Fees
$79.91
Total Slippage
$496.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, emerging markets, inverse etf, trend filter, mean reversion, global equities