EMA VWO vs MA VWO
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that uses emerging markets as an early warning signal, then shifts between leveraged U.S. stocks, Treasury bonds, and volatility funds.
This strategy uses emerging-market stocks (VWO) as a global “mood gauge.” If VWO’s recent 1-year trend is stronger than its plain 1-year trend, it goes into attack mode and usually buys TQQQ, a very aggressive tech fund.
If not, it gets more defensive, shifting among U.S. stocks, long-term Treasury bonds, and volatility funds based on whether markets look overheated or fearful.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~61% annualized returns vs SPY’s ~23%, with Calmar ~1.05 for solid risk-adjusted gains. Leveraged/volatility-taking regime shifts aim for big upside, but come with higher drawdowns (~58%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 2.23 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 212,458.7% | 66.57% | -7.81% | 1.93% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,255,870.04Regulatory Fees
$8,801.91
Total Slippage
$79,891.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following, regime switching, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, emerging markets signal, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks