EMA VWO vs MA VWO
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A risk‑on/risk‑off strategy. It checks if emerging‑market stocks are improving. If yes, ride 3× Nasdaq tech unless it looks overheated, then switch to a volatility hedge. If not, pair 3× Treasuries with 3× S&P 500 or volatility, diversifying more when fear spikes.
First, it asks: are emerging‑market stocks improving lately? (a faster 1‑yr average of VWO is above a slower 1‑yr average). If yes, go Risk On: buy 3× Nasdaq tech (TQQQ), unless tech looks extremely hot, then use a volatility hedge (UVXY). If not, go Risk Off: mainly hold 3× long Treasuries (TMF) plus either 3× S&P 500 (UPRO) or the volatility hedge; if fear is already spiking, spread across TMF, UPRO, and a mid‑term volatility fund (VIXM).
Potent out-of-sample upside: ~83% annualized vs ~25% for the S&P; Calmar ~1.44 and Sharpe ~1.31. Regime-switching tech leverage with hedges targets big upside, accepting larger drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 2.18 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 172,603.11% | 67.92% | 1% | -9.32% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,270,311.17Regulatory Fees
$6,341.89
Total Slippage
$42,974.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, trend filter, leveraged etfs, volatility timing, equities, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks