EMA VWO vs MA VWO
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Uses a 1‑year trend in emerging markets (VWO) to flip Risk On/Off. Risk On: leveraged tech (TQQQ) unless overheated, then UVXY. Risk Off: bonds plus stocks, or a cautious blend with volatility if fear is high; swaps to UVXY at stock extremes.
1) Check a 1‑year trend on VWO (emerging markets). If the faster average price is above the slower one, it’s Risk On; otherwise, Risk Off.
Risk On: Hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). If QQQ looks extremely “hot” (RSI>80), switch to UVXY (long volatility).
Risk Off: If volatility is already high (VIXY RSI>70), mix UPRO, TMF, VIXM by inverse volatility. Else hold 50% TMF and 50% UPRO—unless SPY is extremely hot (RSI>80), then use UVXY instead of UPRO.
Strategy uses EM trend signals to time risk-on/off with volatility hedges. In out-of-sample tests: ~83% annualized return vs S&P ~25%, Calmar ~1.44, but expect larger drawdowns in stress—great upside potential with disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 2.19 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.72% | 15.58% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.95 | |
| 201,511.62% | 68.98% | 21.83% | 15.66% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,161,162.40Regulatory Fees
$6,911.00
Total Slippage
$47,007.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, regime filter, momentum, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks