EMA VWO vs MA VWO
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Uses a 1‑year trend in emerging markets (VWO) to flip Risk On/Off. Risk On: leveraged tech (TQQQ) unless overheated, then UVXY. Risk Off: bonds plus stocks, or a cautious blend with volatility if fear is high; swaps to UVXY at stock extremes.
1) Check a 1‑year trend on VWO (emerging markets). If the faster average price is above the slower one, it’s Risk On; otherwise, Risk Off.
Risk On: Hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). If QQQ looks extremely “hot” (RSI>80), switch to UVXY (long volatility).
Risk Off: If volatility is already high (VIXY RSI>70), mix UPRO, TMF, VIXM by inverse volatility. Else hold 50% TMF and 50% UPRO—unless SPY is extremely hot (RSI>80), then use UVXY instead of UPRO.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets far higher growth than the S&P: about 83% annualized vs 25%; with a Sharpe ~1.31 and Calmar ~1.44. It uses EM trend signals plus tactical hedges to capture upside while managing risk—though drawdowns can be large.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, regime filter, momentum, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks