EMA 12-26 Crossover Strategy (Public) v3
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules‑based swing strategy. If markets look overheated, it flips to a volatility spike play (UVXY). Otherwise it forms 5 trend ideas and buys the single one that’s most short‑term oversold. Uses leveraged ETFs; very high risk.
Each day it does two things:
1) Heat check: If short‑term momentum across many stock funds looks “too hot” (a 0–100 gauge called RSI is above ~75–80), it switches to UVXY, a fund that jumps when fear spikes.
2) Otherwise it builds five simple trend signals on the S&P 500, long US Treasuries, gold, emerging markets, and market volatility using 12‑ vs 26‑day averages and 50/200‑day guide rails. It then buys just one position—the one that looks most “washed out” over ~8 days (lowest RSI)—or cash‑like T‑bills in some cases. Rebalances daily; often uses 2x/3x ETFs, so swings can be large.
Out-of-sample edge: ~44.9% annualized return vs SPY ~29.3%, Calmar ~1.85 and Sharpe ~0.90, with ~0.27 alpha. Higher upside from dynamic trend/volatility hedging, but expect larger max drawdown (~24% vs SPY’s ~13.7%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.86% | 15.3% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.92 | |
| 75,216.94% | 216.22% | -1.22% | 14.41% | 2.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,531,693.59Regulatory Fees
$31,543.04
Total Slippage
$213,650.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend-following, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, multi-asset (stocks/bonds/gold/vol), daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks