EMA 12-26 Crossover Strategy (Public) v3
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical system. If popular stock funds look extremely overbought, switch to UVXY (volatility). Otherwise, use a 12/26‑day trend filter and buy the most “dipped” pick among S&P 500/tech/bonds/gold/EM (often via 2–3× ETFs). High risk.
Daily: 1) If several stock ETFs look “too hot” (RSI>~79, a 0–100 recent‑move heat score), buy UVXY, a volatility fund that jumps when stocks fall. 2) Else use a 12/26‑day moving‑average trend check on SPY (S&P 500), TLT (long bonds), GLD (gold), EEM (emerging), VXX (volatility). Map passes to trading ETFs (often 2–3×), then pick the one with the lowest short‑term RSI (buy the dip). If tests fail, use T‑bill ETFs BIL/SGOV.
Out-of-sample, this strategy yields higher upside: ~44.9% annualized return vs SPY’s ~29.3%, with Calmar ~1.85 and alpha ~0.27. Drawdowns are larger (~24% vs ~14%), but volatility-timing and buy-the-dip signals offer stronger risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131.71% | 15.83% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 75,112.06% | 218.42% | 0.61% | 7.12% | 2.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,521,205.86Regulatory Fees
$31,543.04
Total Slippage
$213,650.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, contrarian, volatility-hedge, leveraged-etfs, tactical-allocation, daily-rebalance, single-position
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks